Usted buscó por: "Auerswald, Philip E."

Expert political judgment : how good is it? : how can we know?

Princeton, N. J. : Princeton University, 2005 copyright.
Descripción: xvi, 321 páginas : ilustraciones

ISBN: 0691128715

Quantifying the unquantifiable

The ego-deflating challenge of radical skepticism

Knowing the limits of one's knowledge : foxes have better calibration and discrimination scores than hedgehogs

Honoring reputational bets : foxes are better bayesians than hedegehogs

Contemplating counterfactuals : foxes are more willing than hedgehogs to entertain self-subversive scenarios

The hedgehogs strike back

Are we open-minded enough to acknowledge the limits of open-mindedness

exploring the limits on objectivity and accountability.

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